Monday, March 26, 2012

Bernanke rolls the dice on what seems to be a bad bet


Bernanke’s argument that he can push demand harder to reduce unemployment is based on the notion that unemployment is more cyclical than structural. Unfortunately that seems like a bad bet given the evidence. The greatest bulge in unemployment in this cycle is from not-temporary unemployment instead of from temporary unemployment. And that category’s contribution to the unemployment rate is larger than in this expansion at this point than in any previous expansion at the 32-month mark since at least the 1970s.  Ben seems to be rolling the dice on a bad bet. But it’s a bet that gives him a rationale for postponing tightening which is what his Great Depression lesson tells him to do. Right now all we really know is the ‘what’ of his policy ‘not the ‘why.’  


this is the teaser text for My Zero Hedge article and below it, the table that explains the data discussed in the body of that article. 

Go here ( LINK BELOW) to see the article that explains why these data undermine Bernanke's case for saying unemployment is mostly cyclical.
 

2 comments:

QUALITY STOCKS UNDER FOUR DOLLARS said...

What is it with the QE's. Money printing never did and never will solve serious economic problems. What we need are real solutions to real economic problems.

PENNY STOCK INVESTMENTS said...

Roll the dice ben.